Capitals vs Rangers Picks, Predictions & Odds Tonight - NHL

Kicking off Sunday’s NHL slate is a Metropolitan Division tilt between the New York Rangers and Washington Capitals.

These two teams just played on Saturday and now Travel to New York for the second half of the doubleheader. The NHL odds Under is 2-1 across the three matchups featuring these two clubs this season.

Will we see another low-scoring affair, or can the scoring pick up this time around? Find out in our free NHL picks for Capitals vs. Rangers on Sunday, January 14.

Capitals vs Rangers odds

Capitals vs Rangers predictions

After cashing the Under in yesterday’s game between these two teams, we are going back to the well on Sunday. The majority of this handicap remains the same, especially considering that goaltender Igor Shesterkin got yesterday off and is instead going to start in this second game.

While Shesterkin has dealt with some inconsistencies this season, he is still an elite presence and completely shut down Washington last time out as he stopped 26 of 27 pucks for a .963 SV%. In his career against the Capitals, he is now 7-4 with a .913 SV% and 2.74 GAA.

There were six or fewer total goals scored in six of those 11 games. Making Shesterkin’s job easier is playing behind this strong New York blue line.

The Rangers rank 13th in the league in expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60) at 5-on-5. Shesterkin and this defense should have no issues against the Caps, especially if they are going to be without Alex Ovechkin again, who missed Saturday’s game with a lower body injury.

Losing their leading point scorer is obviously a massive blow to an already poor offensive team. This season, Washington ranks 28th or lower in power play percentage, shots on goal per game, and goals scored per game.

Its analytics suggest that positive regression is unlikely, ranking 29th in expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60) at 5-on-5. Meanwhile, New York’s offense is not much better analytically, which is why we shouldn’t be surprised yesterday’s game went Under the total. 

The Rangers rank in the bottom half of the league in xGF/60 at 5-on-5. Now, the only difference between yesterday’s handicap and today’s is that the Capitals are sending out goaltender Darcy Kuemper to guard the cage.

Kuemper has played worse than Lindgren this season, but that is why Sunday’s total is as high as 6.5. With that said, he boasts a .907 SV% and 2.68 GAA over his past nine starts against New York. There were six or fewer total goals scored in five of those nine outings.

My best bet: Under 6.5 (-134 at FanDuel)

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Capitals vs Rangers same-game parlay

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Under 6.5

Rangers moneyline

+155 at FanDuel

I analyzed yesterday how Washington’s lone “advantage” was home ice, and that clearly paid off as it won 3-2. However, now even that is gone as these teams travel to New York for the second half of this back-to-back.

With home-ice advantage now on their side, we shouldn’t be surprised that the Rangers’ moneyline is now much wider on Sunday and is past the two-dollar mark. New York is stronger offensively, defensively, in the faceoff circle, and on special teams.

I expect a bounce-back performance from the Rangers on Sunday, especially with Shesterkin returning to the crease.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Capitals vs Rangers moneyline and Over/Under analysis

The Rangers opened as a big -220 favorite and remain at that number as of Saturday afternoon. I don't project the market moving this number too much, considering that New York possesses every single advantage in this matchup.

That brings us to the total, which has bounced between six and 6.5, depending on the book. With Saturday’s low-scoring affair in mind, I think the market only pushes this number down.

The sooner you can grab it, the better.

Capitals vs Rangers betting trend to know

The Capitals and Rangers have combined for six or fewer goals in seven of their last 10 meetings. Find more NHL betting trends for Capitals vs. Rangers.

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Capitals vs Rangers game info

Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Date: Sunday, January 14, 2024
Puck drop: 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: NHL Network
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