Tigers vs Marlins Prediction - MLB Picks 7/30/23

Miami Marlins (56-49) vs Detroit Tigers (47-58)

Game Info: Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 1:40 pm (loanDepot park)

Jesus Luzardo (8-5) (3.22) vs Tarik Skubal (1-1) (3.71)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins -150 / Detroit Tigers +130 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Detroit Tigers will play the Miami Marlins in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Miami won the first Game in this series by a score of 6-5, while Detroit answered with a 5-0 win in Game 2 on Saturday. Miami could really use a series win here, as they have had some issues over the last month. 

Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 47-58 this season and they have lost four of their last five Games. Prior to this series, Detroit lost all three Games in their series with the Angels, where they were out scored by a total of 23-10. Detroit has had pretty solid pitching this season, but their offense ranks towards the bottom of baseball in most of the offensive metrics. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.46 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average this year. The Tigers offense has scored 411 runs with a .231 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Javier Baez is batting .223 with seven home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Tigers. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 17.0 innings pitched this season.

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 56-49 this season and they have lost 10 of their last 13 Games. Miami was able to split a two Game series in Tampa Bay in their last series, but they have really struggled to gain momentum lately. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 428 runs with a .264 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Jorge Soler is batting .240 with 24 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Jesus Luzardo, who is 8-5 with a 3.22 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 120.1 innings pitched this year. 

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Matchup/League Facts

The Detroit Tigers ranks T3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (295).

The Detroit Tigers ranks T9th in the league for triples this season (17).

The Miami Marlins ranks 4th in the league for hits this season (941).

The Miami Marlins ranks 4th in the league for batting average this season (.264).

Pick

The Marlins couldn’t get anything going on Saturday and they were shutout by a Detroit team that is 11 Games under .500. Miami will go for the series win here as they continue to fight for a Wild Card berth in the NL. The Marlins were in control of a Wild Card spot, but the last few weeks have really hurt their chances. Miami is starting Jesus Luzardo, who has allowed five earned runs in his last five starts (29.2 IP). Detroit is starting Tarik Skubal, who has made four starts this year. Skubal has allowed 0 runs in three of the starts, but got roughed up for seven runs in the other outing. I expect a lower scoring Game here and I like the under. 

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