Brewers vs Mets Prediction - MLB Picks 6/29/23

New York Mets (36-44) vs Milwaukee Brewers (42-38)

Game Info: Thursday, June 29, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Max Scherzer (7-2) (3.95) vs Adrian Houser (2-2) (4.02)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -184 / Milwaukee Brewers +154 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Brewers will play the New York Mets in Game 4 of their series on Thursday night at Citi Field in Queens, New York.

Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 42-38 this season and they have won three of their last four Games. Milwaukee won Games 1 and 3 in this series by scores of 2-1 and 5-2. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average this season. The Brewers offense has scored 321 runs with a .226 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Christian Yelich is batting .277 with nine home runs and 36 RBI’s for the Brewers. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Adrian Houser, who is 2-2 with a 4.02 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 40.1 innings pitched this year. 

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 36-44 this season and they have lost six of their last eight Games. New York won Game 2 of this series by a score of 7-2 on Tuesday night. The New York pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 358 runs with a .239 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this year. Brandon Nimmo is batting .282 with 10 home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Scherzer, who is 7-2 with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 70.2 innings pitched this season.

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Trends

Milwaukee is 0-4 in their last 4 Thursday Games and 5-1 in their last 6 Games against the NL East. The under is 9-1-1 in Milwaukee’s last 11 Thursday Games. New York is 35-17 in their last 52 Thursday Games and 3-8 in their last 11 home Games. The under is 4-1-1 in New York’s last 6 Games. Milwaukee is 6-1 in these two teams last 7 head to head meetings.

Pick

The Mets have played decently well at home this season, but they have been a big disappointment overall this year, while Milwaukee is near the top of the NL Central. New York will try to save a split in this series and they are starting Max Scherzer, who has allowed three earned runs over his last 14 innings of work. Milwaukee is starting Adrian Houser, who has allowed five earned runs or more in two of his last three starts. I really like how Scherzer has pitched in his last two starts and I am taking the Mets -1.5 here. 

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